Hellerup IK vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
11º
8º
48
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellerup IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HEL
3 - 0
JAM
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AKA
2 - 0
HEL
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HEL
2 - 1
THI
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 1
HEL
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HEL
2 - 2
KOL
20%
25%
55%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JAM
0 - 3
AAF
10%
17%
73%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 1
BFR
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AAF
5 - 0
THI
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KOL
0 - 1
AAF
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 0
B93
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |