Hellas Verona vs Virtus Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
CAM
0 - 0
VER
22%
24%
53%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
VER
4 - 2
BEN
86%
10%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1984 |
ROM
1 - 0
VER
76%
17%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1984 |
VER
1 - 1
ROM
37%
28%
34%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1984 |
VER
3 - 1
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIR
74%
15%
12%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
VIR
0 - 1
ASC
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |