Hellas Verona vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
TRI
0 - 0
VER
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
VER
0 - 0
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
MES
1 - 0
VER
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
PAL
5 - 0
VER
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 0
VER
56%
23%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
ACM
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
USF
1 - 0
USA
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
PRO
3 - 1
USA
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
USA
0 - 1
ASS
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |