Hellas Verona vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
FAN
4 - 1
VER
36%
23%
41%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
VER
2 - 2
BRE
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
VER
1 - 1
SAL
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
USC
3 - 0
VER
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
VER
5 - 1
UNI
73%
15%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SIR
0 - 0
NAP
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
SIR
5 - 0
USA
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SIR
2 - 2
PIS
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIR
75%
14%
11%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
EMP
1 - 1
SIR
74%
14%
12%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |