Serie A - Relegation tie-breaker Final
Global 2-2
Hellas Verona vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
VER
2 - 1
PRG
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 2
VER
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
VER
5 - 4
BOL
39%
26%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
NAP
2 - 0
VER
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
VER
0 - 0
LEC
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
REG
2 - 1
ACM
22%
28%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
PRG
1 - 1
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
REG
1 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
ATL
1 - 1
REG
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
REG
2 - 0
PAR
19%
28%
53%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |