Hellas Verona vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 0
VER
32%
32%
36%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
VER
4 - 0
TAR
70%
21%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 1
VER
40%
30%
30%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
VER
2 - 0
ARZ
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 2
VER
37%
31%
31%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 0
USF
50%
29%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAR
62%
25%
13%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRI
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
USA
0 - 0
PAR
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
PES
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |