Hellas Verona vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 4
VER
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VER
2 - 0
TRA
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
PIS
0 - 0
VER
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VER
3 - 0
LEO
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 4
VER
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
SPA
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TER
4 - 3
NOV
34%
27%
38%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
AVE
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 1
NOV
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |