Hellas Verona vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
VER
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 2
VER
60%
23%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
VER
1 - 1
BAR
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
GEN
3 - 1
VER
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
LEC
0 - 2
VER
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 1
LEC
52%
28%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 0
NOV
60%
25%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 0
PIS
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
USF
3 - 1
NOV
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |