Hellas Verona vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
BAR
2 - 1
VER
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 0
VER
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
VER
1 - 0
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
COM
4 - 3
VER
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
VER
2 - 1
VNZ
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
NOV
0 - 0
TAR
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
NOV
2 - 1
SSS
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ASS
1 - 0
NOV
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAG
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
USA
2 - 0
NOV
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |