Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 4-3
Hellas Verona vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
NOC
2 - 2
VER
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
VER
4 - 2
RAV
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
CSA
0 - 2
VER
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
VER
2 - 0
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
REG
0 - 3
VER
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
NOC
2 - 2
VER
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
CAG
1 - 1
NOC
88%
10%
2%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
NOC
2 - 2
CAG
5%
14%
81%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
JUV
2 - 1
NOC
95%
5%
1%
|
53 | 91 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
NOC
0 - 0
JUV
4%
16%
80%
|
52 | 92 | 40 | +1 |