Hellas Verona vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
VER
4 - 3
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CAT
1 - 1
VER
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
VER
0 - 0
TRE
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
VER
1 - 0
TRE
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
VER
1 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
AVE
3 - 0
NAP
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
NAP
1 - 1
PIA
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
MES
1 - 1
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
NAP
0 - 1
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
PES
0 - 3
NAP
35%
25%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |