Hellas Verona vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.6%
35.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 1
VER
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 2
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VER
4 - 0
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 1
VER
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
VER
0 - 0
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
ARZ
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 1
MOD
21%
29%
50%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
MOD
2 - 1
PRG
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 0
VNZ
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
PES
2 - 0
MOD
22%
28%
50%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |