Hellas Verona vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
EMP
1 - 0
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VER
1 - 2
FRO
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAP
3 - 0
VER
80%
14%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
BOL
0 - 1
VER
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VER
1 - 2
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
ACM
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ACM
1 - 2
JUV
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
ACM
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ACM
1 - 1
LAZ
53%
25%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |