Hellas Verona vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
58.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
VER
67%
22%
11%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
VER
0 - 0
VAR
51%
29%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
PAL
3 - 0
VER
58%
27%
14%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
CES
2 - 1
VER
68%
22%
10%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
VER
1 - 0
TAR
52%
30%
19%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
PES
1 - 0
ACM
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
ACM
1 - 0
ASS
77%
17%
6%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
RIM
2 - 2
ACM
23%
28%
49%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
ACM
1 - 1
LAZ
67%
22%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
ACM
0 - 1
PIS
75%
18%
7%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |