Hellas Verona vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
40.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ROM
2 - 1
VER
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
VER
0 - 0
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
INT
0 - 0
VER
62%
24%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
VER
0 - 1
NAP
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
JUV
1 - 0
VER
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ACM
0 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ACM
1 - 1
TOR
52%
27%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
PRG
0 - 1
ACM
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
ACM
2 - 0
PES
76%
17%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |