Hellas Verona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
VER
1 - 1
CAG
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NAP
0 - 0
VER
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
VER
0 - 1
TER
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CAT
2 - 1
VER
22%
26%
53%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
VER
1 - 0
VNZ
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
MES
2 - 1
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
VIC
2 - 1
MES
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
MES
3 - 2
ASC
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
MES
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CAT
1 - 1
MES
36%
29%
36%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |