Hellas Verona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
VER
0 - 4
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
PAL
1 - 3
VER
21%
28%
51%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
VER
2 - 1
PAL
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
CES
1 - 0
VER
44%
30%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
VER
2 - 1
ACM
19%
29%
52%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
BAR
0 - 0
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MES
1 - 1
ANC
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
ANC
2 - 2
MES
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
CAG
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |