Hellas Verona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.7%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.6%
2.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
SPA
0 - 1
VER
18%
26%
57%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
INT
0 - 0
VER
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
VER
1 - 1
JUV
35%
28%
37%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
VER
4 - 1
BRE
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
COM
1 - 1
VER
32%
31%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
MES
0 - 1
CES
47%
24%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
MES
0 - 0
CAM
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 0
MES
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
MES
1 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
SSS
2 - 0
MES
41%
31%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |