Hellas Verona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
PRG
3 - 1
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
VER
3 - 0
REG
43%
30%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
VER
4 - 0
POT
56%
27%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
VNZ
3 - 0
VER
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
VER
0 - 1
PIS
47%
31%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
USF
33%
32%
35%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 1
MES
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
LAZ
42%
32%
26%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |