Hellas Verona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
24.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1967 |
SAV
0 - 1
VER
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
VER
2 - 0
MOD
41%
30%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
PAD
2 - 1
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
VER
1 - 0
NOV
50%
29%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
REG
2 - 0
VER
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1967 |
LIV
4 - 1
MES
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
MES
2 - 0
NOV
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
POT
3 - 0
MES
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
MES
0 - 0
REG
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
MES
0 - 2
MOD
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |