Hellas Verona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
ASS
0 - 0
VER
57%
23%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
VER
2 - 2
PAR
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 1
VER
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
VER
2 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
TRE
1 - 1
VER
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
UNI
2 - 2
MES
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
MES
3 - 0
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
MES
1 - 1
TAR
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
VIC
4 - 1
MES
66%
20%
13%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |