Hellas Verona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
VER
4 - 1
SIR
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
UNI
2 - 0
VER
73%
16%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
VER
1 - 1
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
VIC
1 - 1
VER
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
VER
0 - 2
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
CAG
35%
24%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
PAD
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
MES
2 - 1
SIR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 1
MES
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |