Hellas Verona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
VER
3 - 2
SIR
67%
18%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
MOD
2 - 1
VER
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
VER
1 - 1
TRE
64%
18%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
BRE
3 - 1
VER
51%
22%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
ANC
1 - 2
VER
43%
23%
34%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
MES
1 - 1
CAT
58%
20%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
BAR
3 - 1
MES
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
MES
1 - 3
VIC
61%
20%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
MES
2 - 1
SAL
58%
21%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
VNZ
4 - 2
MES
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |