Hellas Verona vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 1
VER
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
PES
1 - 0
VER
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
VER
1 - 0
SAL
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
CHI
1 - 2
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
VER
1 - 0
USF
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
ASL
2 - 1
BOL
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
FIA
0 - 0
ASL
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 0
AVE
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
COS
1 - 0
ASL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |