Hellas Verona vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 1
VER
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
VER
1 - 0
CTT
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 0
VER
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
PIA
3 - 0
VER
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VER
1 - 2
ACM
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
LIV
3 - 2
PIS
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
EMP
2 - 1
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
LIV
2 - 1
CAG
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASC
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 0
LIV
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |