Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 5-1
Hellas Verona vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
VER
0 - 1
ROM
22%
28%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 0
VER
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
TAR
1 - 0
VER
30%
31%
40%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
VER
0 - 0
SAL
67%
22%
11%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
ASL
1 - 0
VER
34%
31%
35%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 0
VNZ
63%
24%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 0
VER
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
LEC
2 - 0
VIR
83%
13%
4%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
VIR
0 - 0
LEC
14%
23%
63%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
LEC
0 - 2
INT
19%
28%
53%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |