Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
ASS
3 - 1
VER
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
VER
1 - 0
USF
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
VER
0 - 0
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
TRI
1 - 2
VER
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
VER
1 - 1
COS
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
ASL
3 - 0
FCC
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
FCC
1 - 0
COS
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
USF
2 - 1
FCC
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
FCC
1 - 1
LAZ
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
FCC
0 - 1
ASS
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |