Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Hellas Verona vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
TOR
2 - 1
VER
53%
26%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
VER
3 - 0
PIS
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
BAR
3 - 1
VER
30%
30%
40%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
VER
1 - 1
UDI
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
VER
0 - 3
ATL
70%
20%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
COM
1 - 0
ROM
22%
29%
49%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
INT
3 - 2
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
57%
26%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
TOR
1 - 3
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
SAM
0 - 0
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |