Hellas Verona vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
VNZ
1 - 1
VER
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
VER
0 - 1
LIV
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 1
VER
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
VER
1 - 0
CTT
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 0
VER
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
MES
3 - 3
CAT
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CAT
3 - 2
GEN
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
CAT
1 - 3
COS
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
BAR
4 - 0
CAT
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
CAT
0 - 0
CRO
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |