Hellas Verona vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
VER
3 - 1
MES
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
PAR
0 - 0
VER
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
POR
3 - 2
VER
45%
22%
34%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
LAZ
4 - 0
VER
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
VER
2 - 0
TOR
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAT
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
CAT
1 - 1
TAR
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 1
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |