Hellas Verona vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
ACP
0 - 1
VER
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
VER
3 - 0
USA
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
NAP
1 - 1
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
VER
2 - 0
TRI
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
FCC
2 - 2
VER
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 1
PAL
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
BRE
5 - 0
FCC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
POT
0 - 0
BRE
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
COS
1 - 2
BRE
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
BRE
2 - 0
ASS
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |