Hellas Verona vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
PAL
3 - 1
VER
51%
30%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
VER
0 - 2
SPA
57%
28%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
MAT
1 - 0
VER
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
VER
0 - 0
BRE
52%
29%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
VER
1 - 2
ASS
51%
29%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 1
VAR
63%
23%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
3 - 3
BRE
44%
31%
25%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
RIM
1 - 1
VAR
52%
28%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
0 - 2
CAG
38%
32%
30%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
VAR
0 - 1
PIS
39%
32%
29%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |