Hellas Verona vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1972 |
ROM
1 - 0
VER
65%
21%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
FCC
0 - 0
VER
42%
31%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
VER
0 - 0
TOR
35%
29%
37%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
NAP
1 - 1
VER
57%
26%
17%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
VER
1 - 1
ACM
19%
29%
52%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 3
INT
15%
26%
59%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
VIC
0 - 4
VAR
62%
24%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
VAR
1 - 1
FIO
27%
30%
43%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
CAG
1 - 1
VAR
76%
17%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 1
SAM
42%
31%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |