Hellas Verona vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
FIO
2 - 1
VER
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
VER
2 - 2
VIC
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
MAN
1 - 0
VER
50%
28%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
VER
2 - 0
INT
16%
25%
59%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
JUV
4 - 0
VER
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
ROM
0 - 0
VAR
72%
19%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
VAR
1 - 1
FCC
52%
29%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
NAP
3 - 0
VAR
60%
25%
15%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
TOR
2 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 0
BOL
32%
32%
37%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |