Hellas Verona vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
USF
2 - 1
VER
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
VER
0 - 1
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ACM
1 - 1
VER
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
VER
0 - 0
VNZ
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
VER
2 - 3
REG
54%
23%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
ACP
2 - 1
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 2
ACP
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
MAN
3 - 1
ACP
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 0
TRI
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 1
ACP
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |