Hellas Verona vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VER
1 - 0
TRI
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VER
2 - 2
FER
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 5
VER
10%
21%
70%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VER
7 - 1
FCR
95%
5%
1%
|
83 | 7 | 76 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
VER
4 - 0
DIL
95%
5%
1%
|
83 | 7 | 76 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CES
3 - 1
PAD
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 4
CES
8%
16%
75%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CES
2 - 2
JUS
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
CES
25%
23%
52%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |