Heist vs Tubize analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
WSW
4 - 1
HEI
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
GEE
1 - 1
HEI
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 5
EUP
21%
25%
55%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CER
2 - 0
HEI
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 3
ANT
31%
25%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tubize
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TUB
2 - 1
DEI
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TUB
2 - 1
UNI
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ANT
4 - 0
TUB
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
TUB
2 - 0
LOM
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
KSV
0 - 0
TUB
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |