Heist vs Tubize analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SER
3 - 0
HEI
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
HEI
0 - 2
MON
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEI
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
HEI
2 - 2
BEE
54%
22%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BIN
1 - 4
HEI
20%
21%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tubize
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
TUB
1 - 0
ANT
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TUB
3 - 1
PAT
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
WSB
1 - 0
TUB
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DES
3 - 0
TUB
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CIN
0 - 0
TUB
23%
22%
55%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |