Heist vs Sprimont-Comblain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 0
HEI
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HEI
3 - 0
COX
69%
18%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
DEN
4 - 5
HEI
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 2
HEI
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 1
GEE
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sprimont-Comblain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 0
SPR
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SPR
1 - 2
OOS
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
GEE
2 - 0
SPR
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
DEI
0 - 5
SPR
27%
24%
50%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SPR
1 - 2
DEN
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |