Heist vs Patro Eisden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
OOS
0 - 1
HEI
26%
22%
52%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
EEA
1 - 1
HEI
35%
23%
42%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
HEI
2 - 1
KNO
31%
23%
46%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2018 |
TIE
4 - 1
HEI
20%
21%
59%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
HEI
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Patro Eisden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 0
KNO
9%
18%
73%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 0
PAT
79%
14%
8%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 2
VWH
25%
21%
53%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
DES
6 - 1
PAT
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 4
GEE
27%
22%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |