Heist vs Patro Eisden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
HEI
4 - 2
OUD
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BEE
4 - 2
HEI
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HEI
5 - 0
SPR
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 0
HEI
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HEI
3 - 0
COX
69%
18%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Patro Eisden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PAT
3 - 1
SPR
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
COX
0 - 0
PAT
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PAT
3 - 2
VWH
42%
24%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DES
4 - 2
PAT
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
PAT
2 - 0
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +3 |