Heist vs Oudenaarde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OOS
5 - 1
HEI
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HEI
3 - 3
STR
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
KVC
3 - 0
HEI
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 2
EUP
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
TUB
2 - 1
HEI
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Oudenaarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
OUD
2 - 5
LOM
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DES
3 - 0
OUD
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
OUD
0 - 0
EEA
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
OUD
0 - 2
OOS
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
STR
2 - 0
OUD
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |