Heist vs Oosterwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
HEI
6 - 1
HOO
40%
23%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FCT
2 - 1
HEI
13%
17%
71%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 2
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 4
PAT
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
4 - 0
HEI
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Oosterwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OOS
3 - 2
UNI
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VLI
1 - 2
OOS
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 2
OOS
21%
22%
56%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
DIE
1 - 2
OOS
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OOS
3 - 0
TEM
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |