Heist vs Mandel United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LIE
2 - 0
HEI
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HEI
1 - 0
VIS
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FBO
0 - 0
HEI
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DES
4 - 3
HEI
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HEI
1 - 1
OLY
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mandel United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 2
DEN
59%
21%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RUP
0 - 1
MAN
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOU
9%
13%
78%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 3
DES
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 2
FBO
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |