Heist vs Lyra-Lierse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
12º
16º
16º
29
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 55 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 52 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 48 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 48 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 42 |
10º
|
37% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 28 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 28 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
14.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
85.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
HEI
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 1
KVT
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 1
OHL
63%
19%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CER
4 - 2
HEI
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 0
DIK
51%
22%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lyra-Lierse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LYR
4 - 1
MER
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
KVT
3 - 3
LYR
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TIE
0 - 3
LYR
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LYR
3 - 0
MEU
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LYR
2 - 2
NIN
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |