Heist vs Lommel SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SER
5 - 2
HEI
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
3 - 0
HEI
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 3
UNI
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DES
3 - 1
HEI
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
HEI
0 - 1
LIE
24%
24%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CER
0 - 0
LOM
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LOM
0 - 0
LIE
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
LOM
28%
25%
48%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LOM
3 - 1
COX
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
EUP
2 - 0
LOM
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |