Heist vs Lommel SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GEE
0 - 0
HEI
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
HEI
0 - 1
KSV
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
WSB
5 - 1
HEI
52%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
HEI
3 - 0
KSV
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BOU
2 - 1
HEI
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LOM
0 - 2
PAT
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
WSB
0 - 0
LOM
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
LOM
2 - 1
EIN
51%
23%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 3
LOM
10%
17%
73%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
STR
1 - 2
LOM
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |