Heist vs Geel-Meerhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
EUP
3 - 1
HEI
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HEI
0 - 2
CER
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 0
HEI
65%
22%
13%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HEI
3 - 0
COX
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
DEI
4 - 4
HEI
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DEI
0 - 0
GEE
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GEE
2 - 1
UNI
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
COX
0 - 2
GEE
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GEE
3 - 3
CER
24%
25%
52%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 1
GEE
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |