Heist vs Geel-Meerhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
KSV
2 - 2
HEI
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
HEI
2 - 1
WOL
43%
23%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
PAT
3 - 1
HEI
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
HEI
2 - 2
WSB
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
STR
3 - 1
HEI
77%
16%
8%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
GEE
2 - 2
PAT
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GEE
1 - 1
WSB
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
STR
2 - 1
GEE
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GEE
0 - 3
EUP
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ANT
2 - 2
GEE
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |