Heist vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LOM
5 - 0
HEI
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
HEI
1 - 1
SER
58%
21%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
OUD
3 - 3
HEI
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
HEI
6 - 0
PAT
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
OOS
0 - 1
HEI
26%
22%
52%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
DES
34%
25%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
EEA
2 - 1
EXC
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 3
KNO
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 0
BER
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LOM
6 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |